Monday, December 17, 2012

Where now for Palestine? Part 1: nonviolent vs armed resistance


Find the series introduction here.

Responding to Gelderloos’ criticisms of nonviolence

Nonviolence is a complicated, if not controversial topic among activists. On the one hand, I find myself hearing activists readily embracing and staunchly standing behind nonviolent strategies and rejecting all notions of violent or armed resistance. On the other, there seems to be a pervasive intellectual current among activists arguing that nonviolence is, among other adjectives, ineffective, statist, racist, patriarchal, and deluded.[1]

Nonviolence is ineffective:
Peter Gelderloos published How Nonviolence Protects the State in 2007. The passage of time, particularly with respect to the developments of the 2011 Arab Spring, has done much to address his criticism that nonviolence is ineffective. That revolutions in Egypt and Tunisia began and remained nonviolent in the face of state oppression was remarkable; that they succeeded in toppling long standing dictators only emphasizes the achievement; that these revolutions toppled dictators in a less than a month strains the limits of belief and defies all of the previous conceptions about the resilience of Arab dictatorships.

It is true that the revolutions in Egypt and Tunisia are by no means complete. In Egypt, the power was reorganized following Hosni Mubarak’s ouster but remained tightly controlled by the military. The free elections that took place there however have done much to erode the military’s power. Muhammad Morsi’s recent power grab in addition to what seems to be a deal being brokered between the Muslim Brotherhood and the military are certainly worrying for those hoping for a free Egypt. However, the Egyptian people have proved that they are not going to tolerate a return to dictatorship. The Egyptian populace seems to be more than willing to continue the revolution for as long as it takes however, a sign that should give us much hope.

The revolution in Libya which turned violent quite quickly—due to the Qaddafi regime’s bloody tactics—lasted much longer and cost more lives. In Syria, the results of the terrible civil war raging there now are yet to be determined and there have over 40,000 casualties thus far—again due to the disgusting onslaught of the regime. The lessons of Libya and Syria should be clear: nonviolent protest is not always the answer. I do not imagine that such a movement could have been successful in these cases, and I do not think that nonviolence should be something advocated absolutely without seriously questioning whether or not the regime in question is actually vulnerable such a movement. Palestine, though, I believe is one such case where nonviolence is the likely the only mode of resistance that can lead to the recognition of Palestinian rights and the resolution of the Palestine question.

Nonviolence is statist:
Gelderloos argues that nonviolent activism “ensures a state monopoly on violence,” arguing that it does not challenge the state from a Weberian point of view. Here I disagree entirely. Max Weber argued that a state is defined (in one sense) by holding a monopoly on the legitimate use of force. Naturally, using force illegitimately besmirches the state and tends to erode its power. Looking again to the Arab Spring, we can see that many of these uprisings started out quite small. But case after case, Egypt, Yemen, Libya, Tunisia, Syria, Bahrain, when the state began brutalizing protesters, the opposition was galvanized and burgeoned beyond what it was before the state delegitimized itself. This was the case in Deraa, in Tahrir Square, in Manama Square, on and on. The oppressive states’ power continued to break down the more they attempted to intimidate and kill their opponents.

Nonviolence is racist/patriarchal:
Gelderloos arguments in these chapters tend to get somewhat farfetched in my opinion, but I understand where he is coming from. “Nonviolence,” Gelderloss writes, “is an inherently privileged position in the modern context… Pacifism assumes that white people who grew up in the suburbs with all their basic needs met can counsel oppressed people, many of whom are people of color, to suffer patiently under an inconceivably greater violence, until such time as the Great white father is swayed by the movements demands…” His arguments are similar with regard to patriarchy. The more vitriolic (perhaps absurd) rhetoric aside, I do agree to a point that someone like me (a white, middle class, American male) is privileged, and that calling on Palestinians in Gaza to go on a hunger strike or to join hands around a bonfire while bombs are raining down on their heads is patently immoral. It seems to me, however, that when Hamas and other militant groups responded to Israel’s attacks with indiscriminate rocket fire it only served to reinforce the racist notions about Palestinians in the West. Moreover it did not save Palestinian lives and failed to deter the Israeli onslaught. During such a crisis, the immediate goal must be a ceasefire which is very difficult to initiate in the middle of a conflict.

The argument for violence in this case, which I do think can be justified as a form of Palestinian resistance given the violence perpetrated upon them by Israel, would have to show that militant groups in the Gaza Strip could in anyway defeat the Israeli military. It is not a racist nor patriarchal nor privileged mindset that leads me to conclude that such a victory is not possible. Furthermore, the only way to induce a change in policy from the Israeli government is to induce a change in the Israeli populace; it defies logic to think that this can be accomplished by firing rockets at civilian population centers.

Additionally, I would never advocate that anyone “suffer patiently.” Israel’s policies toward the Palestinians demand resistance, and I find it hard to tolerate an opposing view in this regard. This is one reason why I think the Palestinians should refrain from negotiating with Israel. There is nothing to be negotiated. There should be demands substantiated by actions. Nonviolence, when practiced properly, should not in any way advocate passivity.

To be fair, Gelderloss argues for a diversity of tactics and for a more sober assessment of nonviolence than is typically represented by absolutist ideological advocates of nonviolence. Gelderloos’ work is important for this rather myopic strain of activism that I think permeates movements today. However, these criticisms, while important to be mindful of, do not discredit nonviolence altogether. Indeed, this is not Gelderloos’ goal. In some cases though, nonviolence is the most effective, practical path to social change. I believe this is the case for Palestine.

Nonviolence and Palestine

Nonviolence has been employed in numerous settings for a myriad of different goals, from independence movements to workers rights to overthrowing dictators. Palestine, however, represents a special case.
Palestine is, first and foremost, confronted by Zionism, an ideological colonial movement. Nonviolence has been employed in numerous colonial settings, the most well-known being the case of India. While the historical circumstances of the British Empire’s departure are far more complex than simply Mohandas Gandhi’s movement, there can be no doubt the strategy of noncooperation was a key factor. Faced with the aftermath of World War II, the British Empire was exhausted and largely on the decline. Maintaining rule over a defiant populace in a country far away was simply not feasible. But a violent uprising would have had several detrimental effects on a post-colonial India. Obviously, there would have been a significantly higher number of casualties, but also the political transition would have been dictated by military leaders, the results of which are always highly uncertain. Recently a 2005 Freedom House report demonstrated this point, concluding that in transitions where nonviolence is the primary mode of resistance, there is a much higher likelihood that the transition will result in a freer society rather than merely another authoritarian regime.

However, Palestine is not simply a colonial asset attempting to transition to independence, nor is it just an autocracy attempting a transition to democracy. The West Bank and Gaza Strip have been under Israeli military occupation since 1967. There are precedents for nonviolent applications here as well: in 2005 Syria pulled its troops out of Lebanon, ending a military occupation that began in 1976. This occupation ended when confronted by a popular uprising following the assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. The popular uprising lasted for approximately two months, before Syrian withdrawal in spite of counter protests put together by Hezbollah, a key regional ally for Syria. There had been several attacks on protest leaders, including more assassinations, but nevertheless the Syrian occupation ended. Regionally and domestically, the prospect of massacring Lebanese protesters, through proxies or otherwise—was not a viable option for Syria. The Syrian withdrawal had more to do with being able to retain nominal control over Lebanon through its clandestine operatives as well as through its partners in Hezbollah. In other words Syrian influence over Lebanon was transformed, though nonetheless diminished.

Historically, for Palestinians nonviolence has been the primary mode of successful resistance. The first intifada was a wildly successful uprising. The Palestine Question was thrust into the public spotlight, not in the usual, problematic depiction of militants attacking Israeli targets from Lebanon or Jordan, but rather in the form of young men throwing stones at tanks. Images of Israeli soldiers following Yitzhak Rabin’s orders to “break their bones” were covered by the media and it is this crisis of international legitimacy and public relations that led to negotiations with the PLO, culminating in the Oslo Accords. The problem is that rather than rethink the logic and moral calculus of Israeli policies, Israel found a Palestinian leader willing to act as a surrogate for a reformatted form of occupation and crush the uprising. Yasser Arafat was at his weakest point politically when he agreed to be Israel’s enforcer, and he and the returning exile leadership took to the task with a remarkable zeal.[2] Thus, what very well could have been a nonviolent revolution of Palestinian independence was completely subverted by a weak leader thrust into negotiations. Nevertheless, this form of resistance forced Israel to shift positions.

Armed resistance, however, has been a historic failure often accompanied by monumental tragedies. The cross border raids by the PLO from its inception in 1964 unto the late 80s achieved little, if anything tangible at all. Launched from Lebanon, Syria, and Jordan, the logic of these attacks was to goad Israel into a response, and forcing these states to respond to breaches of sovereignty, presumably leading a large scale war where Arab states would finally liberate Palestine. What happened in reality however, was that Israel responded with a show strength (if not brutality), and, rather than confront a consistently more advanced Israeli military, the host states blamed the Palestinians and sought to control and punish those within their borders.

Hamas’s tactics have consistently ended in failure as well, and has clearly been recognized by Israel to be a useful tool for avoiding and subverting negotiations and subsequent obligations. But what has Hamas actually accomplished through bombings, rocket attacks, and other deplorable acts of violence other than mayhem? During the 1996 Israeli election cycle, a bombing campaign by Hamas brought to the Likud government to power under the leadership of Benjamin Netanyahu. The second intifada resulted in much more death than the first; the attacks on Israeli civilians dominated the media’s focus away from nonviolent efforts and played into Israel’s never-questioned narrative of self-defense.

Hamas’ prideful participation in Israel’s escalation with Gaza’s militants resulted in over 1,400 killed in December-January 2008-2009 and over 150 killed this past November. Bizarrely, the most recent episode has been lauded as a success for Hamas because of Israeli concession achieved through negotiations in Israel. This perception is based on the ludicrous premise that Israel will honor these obligations. If there is any evidence that suggests that Israel intends to lift the siege of Gaza and begin treating the Palestinians there with any sort of decency, I’ve not yet seen it. Furthermore, even if we consider the terms of the ceasefire a victory for the Palestinians, it was not at the point of a gun that Israel agreed to these terms. It was through a process of mediation due to a new Egypt that is no longer willing to be as complicit as the Mubarak regime was.[3]

Israel is particularly vulnerable to nonviolent resistance with respect to the Palestinians. Israeli officials frequently cite Israel as the only democracy in the Middle East, an assertion that goes too often unquestioned. There are emerging democracies all over the region. Perhaps then these Israeli officials mean that Israel is the only liberal democracy in the region? This is a wildly problematic statement when considering Israel’s treatment of the Palestinian minority in its own country. Nevertheless, this assertion is very easily called into question when juxtaposed to images of Israeli soldiers beating and shooting unarmed demonstrators, i.e. the first intifada.

Another critical issue is that Israel relies on Western support, particularly American support. For the same reason that the Mubarak regime, unquestionably an illiberal dictatorship, could not sustain American support while murdering the nonviolent protesters that occupied Tahrir Square, Israel could not maintain American support while brutalizing unarmed, nonviolent protesters. In Bahrain the uprising was crushed with American support through its proxies in the Bahraini and Saudi Arabian governments. However, while Bahrain’s uprising went largely ignored by the western media and its coverage began to dwindle as it went on, Egypt’s uprising dominated the headlines and the evening news as the media still found the revolution to be sensational and fresh enough to cover day in and day out.  

The American populace is largely uneducated about the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, if they are aware of it at all. Most Americans, in my experience, support Israel for either for ideological reasons stemming from certain eschatological Christian views as well as from ignorant notions of Palestinians terrorists. In the first case, while Americans may support a Jewish state for the sake of ushering in the end times, there is little to do about confronting such a mindset. However, supporting the existence of a Jewish state does not necessitate the murder of Palestinians and many Christians, I believe, would hesitate to support murderous campaigns against peaceful demonstrators. For those Americans that support Israel because of a bastardized interpretation of the global ‘War on Terror,’ this support cannot sustain itself when confronted with images of nonviolent Palestinian resistance.



[1] For these accounts, which will be addressed albeit briefly below, see Gelderloos, Peter. How Nonviolence Protects the State. Cambridge, MA: South End, 2007. Churchill, Ward, and Mike Ryan. Pacifism as Pathology: Reflections on the Role of Armed Struggle in North America. Winnipeg: Arbeiter Ring, 1998.
[2] The PLO’s base in Lebanon had been decimated by civil war, Syrian intervention, and an Israeli campaign that targeted the group directly. The PLO now sat off in distant Tunis, far from the borderlands of historic Palestine. Arafat blundered yet again when Saddam Hussein invaded Kuwait, perilously backing the Iraqi dictator. Following Hussein’s defeat, Kuwait expelled the Palestinian laborers there as punishment while other Gulf States cut funding to the PLO. Diplomatically and geographically isolated, financially bankrupt, and now confronted with an uprising that began without any PLO input whatsoever, Arafat and the leadership in exile were fast becoming politically irrelevant.
[3] However, we cannot let the Morsi government off the hook so long as they are complicit in Israel’s blockade of Gaza.

Tuesday, December 4, 2012

Where now for Palestine? Series introduction

On 29 November 2012, the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) recognized Palestine as a non-member observer state; with 138 for, 9 against, and 41 abstentions, the motion was overwhelmingly supported by the planet Earth. Palestine was explicitly recognized as the Gaza Strip and West Bank, including East Jerusalem. Israel (the current occupier of Palestine) and the United States (the primary financier of the occupation) were the most notable nations among the opposition.

One would hope, in the face of such a massive consensus, that the losers might consider some form of introspection. This has thus far not been the case. Israel has announced that it will proceed with the long-planned construction of the settlement bloc known as E-1. If fully implemented the construction would result in a large scale project on the land between Jerusalem and the illegal settlement Ma’ale Adumim. First, this would result in the de facto annexation of occupied East Jerusalem. Moreover, E-1 would effectively bifurcate the West Bank by restricting access between the north and south to a narrow corridor avoiding new settlements and the already existing military areas which Israel insists are a part of its plan for “defensible borders” as well as a “demilitarized Palestinian state.” The US for its part continued to prove that disdain for Palestinian self-determination is the only thing that can bring Democrats and Republicans together.

The near global recognition of Palestine, regardless of the rather pitiful head-in-the-sand detractors, is a monumental achievement. However, as has anyone will observe, the reality of occupation and continued Israeli sovereignty over Palestine has not changed and is not likely to do so anytime soon.

I had a brief twitter exchange with a Palestinian yesterday who remarked:

Lena Ibrahim: How do we move forward? …and I personally don’t believe the answer to the current 1 apartheid state is a “2 state solution.”
E/A: Middle East: The trick, as far as I can tell, is breaking through to the people of Israel. The people running the [government] are lost causes.
Lena Ibrahim: I agree but I think that’s really tough. It will take generations even after peace to change racist perception by Israelis… only because that’s really all they are taught about the Palestinians, very negative and racist stigmas.”
E/A: Middle East: I agree. That’s why I advocate radical nonviolent activism and dialogue—NOT NEGOTIATIONS. Only way to break those views

 Of course, this exchange requires quite a bit of unpacking, and I hope to dig a bit deeper in the remainder of this series. But I’d like to set out some initial thoughts before going much deeper. 

1) An outsider, like myself, prescribing and advocating nonviolence for people who routinely suffer terror and oppression at the hands of power is always problematic. This is a critique I am all too conscious of. However, accepting the premise that dialogue and interaction with the Israeli populace—as opposed to the ineffectual and/or harmful negotiations pursued by the current Palestinian leadership—is the key to a fundamental change of dynamic between Israel and Palestine, nonviolence is simply the most practical way forward. Setting aside all conceptions of flowery rhetoric on the “goodness” of nonviolence, I would ask the skeptics and critics of nonviolence to accept the fact that Israel is a democracy; it’s intractable, far-right politicians are elected and preserved by popular opinion. Rockets and bombs are no more likely to evoke empathy among Israelis than blockades and massacres are likely to evoke submission among Palestinians. One caveat I would like to add is that there are too Palestinian perceptions that would have to change. Palestinians, just like their Israeli counterparts, are “taught… very negative and racist stigmas.” The difference, I think is that these stigmas would rapidly wither away without the daily reinforcement of Israeli occupation and aggression. 

 2) The reason I oppose negotiations is because there is very little, at the moment, to negotiate about. On the issue of Palestinian refugees’ right of return: even if one rejects mainstream academia’s conclusion that Israel expelled approximately 750,000 Palestinians in 1948 and accepts Israel’s narrative that they simply left of their own volition for fear of war, these refugees still have the right to return to their homeland according to international law. On the issue of territory: Israel imposed its sovereignty over the Gaza Strip and West Bank (including East Jerusalem) after it conquered the territory during the 1967 war; gaining territory through conquest is prohibited by international law; settlements and other forms of unilateral Israeli expansion have rightly been denounced as illegal since 1967 and remain as such today. On the issue of “demilitarization”: A neutered Palestinian state that relies on Israel for its security, is forbidden to make independent treaties, and does not have control over its borders, airspace and coastal waters, is neither sovereign nor independent and has thus never been nor will be an acceptable substitute for an actual Palestinian state. The goal for Palestinians, as far as I can tell, is getting the Israeli populace—and eventually the Israeli leadership—to understand this. However, it only takes an informed glance at the history of the so-called “peace process” to determine that negotiations are merely a forum for Palestinian capitulation, rather than real political settlement.  

3) A successful campaign of nonviolence would require a massive amount of mobilization and consensus among Palestinian society—this includes the Palestinian leadership, heretofore complicit in the Israeli occupation. The premise of nonviolence, at its heart, is refusal to acknowledge and obey the avatars of power, however this is requires an active, provocative process. The Palestinian Authority (PA) that currently operates as a subcontractor of Palestinian oppression will have to be reformed and reconstructed; Hamas will have to be confronted about its use of armed resistance; indeed these should be the first targets of change for activists in Palestine. Hamas, strange as it may sound, is much more likely to consider the measure than is the PA. Hamas has shown interest in a long term ceasefire, and appear willing to reconsider armed resistance. The PA, however, while tacitly supporting certain nonviolent gestures, relies politically, financially, and materially on playing their part in the Oslo model of Palestinian oppression. The recent recognition by the UNGA, however, provides numerous opportunities for the PA to shed such shackles. 

The objective of this series will be to add specificity the arguments listed above. The blue print for the series is first to address specific criticisms and shortcomings of nonviolence, and how this relates to a possible Palestinian movement. In Part 2, I wanted to briefly (and somewhat inadequately) address the history—successes and failures—of nonviolent activism, armed resistance, and negotiations in the in the last two decades of so. Finally, followed by specific prescriptions both for Palestinian and international activists as well as for, hopefully, a modified more activist PA that could embrace and facilitate such a movement in Part 3. 

I would welcome appreciate comments and thoughts regarding: 1) Criticisms/thoughts on nonviolence; 2) the appeal of armed resistance; 3) the benefit of negotiations; and 4) your personal ideas on specific nonviolent strategies. I will give all comments consideration as I work through this series. 

Follow me on Twitter at @Adam_Wes_S and on Facebook at Expert/Activist: Middle East.

Thursday, November 22, 2012

Notes on the Gaza Assault: Deterrence/Terrorism


As the Israeli incursion into Gaza continues, I will be creating posts in this series entitled “Notes on the Gaza Assault,” attempting to highlight some of the primary issues we should all be concerned with as events continue to develop. These may be a bit more free form and written a bit more “from the hip,” so to speak, however I will do my best to keep providing sources for information discussed.

de·ter·rence[1] noun \di-ˈtÉ™r-É™n(t)s, -ˈter-; -ˈtÉ™-rÉ™n(t)s, -ˈte-; dÄ“-\
a : the inhibition of criminal behavior by fear especially of punishment
b : the maintenance of military power for the purpose of discouraging attack
ter·ror·ism noun \ˈter-É™r-ËŒi-zÉ™m\  
: the systematic use of terror especially as a means of coercion

The connotation of “deterrence” in Israeli political discourse

In American discourse, deterrence is a concept discussed in two conversations: “Capital punishment acts as a deterrent for criminals,” a statement that more closely resembles definition (a); and “During the Cold War, the build-up of America’s nuclear arsenal deterred the Soviet Union from a direct confrontation with the United States,” a statement more akin to definition (b). In Israeli discourse, however, the use of the word ‘deterrence’ is quite different. Compared to all of Israel's potential regional threats, definition (b) is a joke; Israel has a vast “qualitative edge” over every other power in the region—our Congress explicitly ensures this every time it passes a bill regarding Israeli military aid—and that’s just considering the states, let alone sub-state actors like Hamas and Hezbollah.[2]

Problematically, this confines Israel’s the use of “deterrence” as definition (a): “the inhibition of criminal behavior by fear.” The conclusion to be drawn is that when a military operation takes place that lists among its primary objectives as “restoring deterrence” we can interpret this as an attempt discourage Israel’s potential enemies by shock and awe inspiring shows of force, if not brutality. We might look briefly at Defense Minister Ehud Barak’s objectives for operation Pillar of Cloud: “Strengthening our deterrence; To inflict serious damage on the rocket launching network; To deliver a painful blow for Hamas and the other terrorist organizations; To minimize damage to our home front.”[3] The second and third objectives have no doubt been achieved long before this point; the last has been clearly demonstrated as a failure given the escalation in rocket attacks that have resulted—for the first time in almost a year—the death of 3 Israeli citizens, and the most recent bus bombing in Tel Aviv that injured over a dozen people.[4] Thus, the deterrence objective is the only one that ostensibly remains within reach.

Many Israeli commentators and public figures have made it clear what they feel will represent an effective show of deterrence. Gilad Sharon, son of the (in)famous Israeli war criminal/Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, argued in The Jerusalem Post that Israel’s victory must be decisive explaining,
If it isn't clear whether the ball crossed the goal-line or not, the goal isn't decisive. The ball needs to hit the net, visible to all… to accomplish this, you need to achieve what the other side can’t bear, can’t live with, and out initial bombing campaign isn't it…[5]
Further explaining how deterrence works Sharon says,
We need to flatten entire neighborhoods in Gaza. Flatten all of Gaza… There should be no electricity in Gaza, no gasoline or moving vehicles, nothing. Then they’d really call for a ceasefire. Were this to happen, the images from Gaza might be unpleasant—but victory would be swift, and the lives our soldiers and civilians would be spared.[6]

Grizzly as it may sound, these ideas are not new to Israeli military history. Thomas rid tracks such a practice of deterrence being employed by pre-Israeli Zionists during the British Mandate period.[7] The notion has a name widely used and discussed in Israeli military circles:  the Dahiya doctrine. This doctrine is named for a suburb of Beirut that was decimated during Israel’s war with Hezbollah in 2006. A Human Rights Watch report details the carnage:
In their attacks on this largely Shi’a district of high-rise apartment buildings[Dahiya], Israeli forces attacked not only Hezbollah military targets but also the offices of Hezbollah’s charitable organizations, the offices of its parliamentarians, its research center, and multi-story residential apartment buildings in areas considered supportive of Hezbollah. Statements by Israeli officials strongly suggest that the massive IDF attacks in southern Beirut were carried out… because they were seen as pro-Hezbollah.[8]
It should be noted that after dropping leaflets on the area warning residents to leave, many did indeed evacuate, which resulted in few deaths in comparison with the widespread destruction wreaked upon the suburb.
During a rather absurd media war between Hezbollah and Israel in 2008, an Israeli Commander threatened to repeat Israel’s performance in the future:
What happened in the Dahiya quarter of Beirut in 2006 will happen in every village from which Israel is fired on. We will apply disproportionate force on it and cause great damage and destruction there. From our stand point, these are not villages, they are military bases.[9]
Israeli media personality Yaron London giddily praised these comments saying,
In the next clash with Hizbullah, we won’t bother to hunt for tens of thousands of rocket launchers and we won’t spill our soldiers’ blood in attempts to overtake fortified Hizbullah positions. Rather, we shall destroy Lebanon and won’t be deterred by the protest of the world. We shall pulverize the 160 Shiite villages that have turned into Shiite army bases, and we shall not show mercy when it comes to hitting the national infrastructure of a state that, in practice, is controlled by Hizbullah. This strategy is not a threat uttered by an impassioned officer, but rather, an approved plan.[10]
The key breakthrough, according to London, is that there are no innocents; there are no civilians; “nations are responsible for their leaders' acts. In practical terms, the Palestinians in Gaza are all Khaled Mashaal, the Lebanese are all Nasrallah, and the Iranians are all Ahmadinejad.[11] This is the very same reasoning terrorist organizations use and London admits as much albeit couched in more Orientalist (if not altogether racist) language. Hamas and other militant groups argue the same point about all Israeli civilians being responsible for the actions of their government and hence as targets they are perfectly legitimate.

Looking at operation Cast Lead with four years of hindsight might reveal more about the efficacy of Israel’s deterrence capacity. According to the Goldstone Report, Israel targeted a wide variety of civilian infrastructure for destruction including flour mills, chicken farms, sewage treatment facilities, and large swaths of civilian housing.[12] This is in addition to the 1400 Palestinians killed in the assault.[13] The Palestinian Center for Human Rights claimed that about 236 Palestinians killed were combatants;[14] B’tselem, an Israeli human rights agency, claimed that approximately 330-375 were combatants;[15] the Israeli army claimed that 709 were “Hamas terror operatives.”[16] Regardless of which figures we believe it is perfectly clear that civilians suffered more than militants. However, the civilians by definition are not the people launching rocket attacks, and four years later there are still flare-ups in such attacks. It seems to me that these Israeli operations tend to grant Hamas and other militant groups only solidify support for Hamas, as they are frequently seen as the only one standing up for the Palestinians in Gaza. It’s rather evident that the Palestinian Authority (and the Fatah party that controls it) was powerless to stop these assaults. While in short term benefits for Isreal, this means that Mahmoud Abbas will be weak as pushes ahead at the UN for non-member state status, but in the long-run a weakened Abbas will only serve to empower less pliable elements of the Palestinian political spectrum. However, it must be said that expecting a population to blame their own governors for the foreign bombs landing on their home is sheer insanity.

The key difference between the actions and calculus of Hamas and Israel is that terrorism as practiced by Israel is meant to “deter” (re: punish) resistance to its policies from those who are subject to their most brutal effects, while Hamas employs terrorism as a form of resistance. Both deserve condemnation, but both deserve this key qualification: one serves as a form of resistance and one serves as form of crushing resistance. More honest journalists and analysts should call Israel’s operations of deterrence for what they are: terrorism that deliberately targets civilian infrastructure and civilian targets as a means of coercing those civilians to reject and blame their own leadership for Israel’s bullets and bombs.

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[1] All definitions taken from:  http://www.merriam-webster.com/.
[2] CRS report
[3] “Pillar of Defense – Statement by DM Ehud Barak.”IsraeliMinistry of Foreign Affairs. 14 November 2012. Accessed 21 November 2012.  http://www.mfa.gov.il/MFA/Government/Communiques/2012/Pillar_of_Defense-Statement_DM_Barak_14-Nov-2012.htm
[4] Sherwood, Harriet. “Tel Aviv bus bombing raises fears in Israel that Gaza conflict will spread.” The Guardian. 21 November 2012. Accessed 21 Novmeber 2012. http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/nov/21/tel-aviv-bus-bomb-gaza-spread
[5] Sharon, Gilad. “A decisive conclusion is necessary.” The Jerusalem Post. 28 November 2012. Accessed 21 November 2012. http://www.jpost.com/Opinion/Op-EdContributors/Article.aspx?ID=292466
[6] Ibid.
[7] Rid, Thomas. “Deterrence beyond the State: The Israeli Experience.” Contemporary Security Policy, Vol. 33, No. 1. April 2012. Accessed 21 November 2012. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/13523260.2012.659593
[8] “Why they Died.” Human Rights Watch. September 2007. Accessed 21 November 2012. http://www.hrw.org/sites/default/files/reports/lebanon0907.pdf. Refuting the line the attacks were targeting Hezbollah munitions, but the group was using human shields Human Rights Watch goes on, “In the 94 incidents involving civilian casualties that Human Rights Watch investigated, we found evidence in only one case involving civilian deaths that Hezbollah weapons were stored in the building. Rather, it appears…that Hezbollah had stored most of its weapons and ammunition, notably rockets, in bunkers and weapon storage facilities located in the fields and the valleys surrounding villages.” 
[9] Katz, Yaakov. “The Dahiya Doctrine: Fighting dirty or a knock-out punch?” The Jerusalem Post. 28 January 2010. Accessed 21 November 2012. http://www.jpost.com/Features/FrontLines/Article.aspx?id=167167
[10] London, Yaron. “The Dahiya Strategy.” Yediot Aharonot. 6 October 2008. Accessed 21 November 2012. http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3605863,00.html  
[11] Ibid.
[12] “Report of the United Nations Fact-Finding Mission on the Gaza Conflict.” United Nations Report A/HRC/12/48. 25 September 2009. Accessed 13 November 2012. http://www2.ohchr.org/english/bodies/hrcouncil/docs/12session/A-HRC-12-48.pdf
[13] During this same time period 13 Israelis lost their lives, of which 10 were soldiers, of which 4 casualties was the result of friendly fire.
[14] Laub, Karin. “Rights group names 1,417 Gaza war dead.” The Washington Times. 19 March 2009. Accessed 22 November 2012. http://www.webcitation.org/5niC4Iiub
[15] “B’Tselem’s investigation of fatalities in Operation Cast Lead.” B’Tselem. September 2009. Accessed 22 November 2012. http://www.webcitation.org/5niCUh4K4
[16] Lappin, Yaakov. “IDF releases Cast Lead casualty numbers.” The Jerusalem Post. 26 March 2009. Accessed 22 November 2012. http://www.webcitation.org/5niwZTV9K

Saturday, November 17, 2012

Notes on the Gaza assault: breaking down American and Egyptian reactions



As the Israeli incursion into Gaza continues I will be creating posts in this series entitled “Notes of the Gaza Assault,” attempting to highlight some of the primary issues we should all be concerned with as events continue to develop. These may be a bit more free form and written a bit more “from the hip” so to speak, however I will do my best to keep providing sources for information discussed.

The lack of discourse in American politics

Since Barak Obama’s re-election two weeks ago, the media outlets in the United States have been reporting heavily on the political deadlock in congress. Well, I’m happy to report, that this deadlock has been officially broken. On Friday, 16 November, both the House of Representatives and the Senate passed identical resolutions supporting Israel’s onslaught in Gaza. H.Res.813.EH frames this support in terms that reproduce Israel’s narrative of the current conflict.[1]

Reading the document one might be led to believe that the source of violence between Israel and Palestine boils down to the agitation and belligerence of militants: the resolution “expresses unwavering commitment to the security of the State of Israel… and recognizes and strongly supports its inherent right to act in self defense and protect its citizens against acts of terrorism;” and “reiterates that Hamas must end Gaza-linked terrorist rocket and missile attacks against Israel, recognize Israel’s right to exist, renounce violence, and agree to accept previous agreements between Israel and the Palestinians.”

Considering the ever-rising body count in Gaza, anyone with even a moderately informed conception of the history of this conflict should be offended by this resolution, however this is bizarrely the only accepted position in Washington. Take for instance Senator Frank Lautenberg’s (D-NJ) comments[2] in solidarity with Israeli aggression and imagine if they represented an honest and reasonable reaction to the onslaught. They may sound something like this:

"No country should be forced to withstand attacks on its own people. We cannot expect [the people of Gaza] to stand idly by while its [people] are the targets of continued... attacks. We support [the Palestinians people's] right to defend itself and call on [Israel] to immediately renounce terror and recognize [Palestine's] right to exist."

Overnight, Lautenbergy would be ostracized and denounced rather than lauded by the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) and the Anti-Defamation League (ADL).

Much is made of American support for Israel, and I want to make it clear what my thoughts are on the issue. The United State's unwavering support for Israel is based on two things: vote and money. Consider that in 2008 AIPAC spent just over $2.5 million on political lobbying.[3]  This is not an insubstantial sum, but the fact that key corporations in American’s military industry like Lockheed-Martin and Boeing spent $17 million[4] and $15 million[5] respectively on lobbying.  These types of arms sales not only affect regional balances of power but also American domestic concerns.  The Wallstreet Journal reports that a 2010 arms deal with Saudi Arabia will create at least 75,000 jobs.[6]  The fact that Saudi Arabia is widely regarded as one of the most brutal, un-free regimes in the world is at best irrelevant (and at worst a positive). More recently discussions of cutting back on the US’s grossly overinflated military spending could result in the loss of many jobs in the “defense” industry, though this is somewhat overdramatized.[7] Israel is the largest recipient of US foreign military aid, earmarked to be spent in the United States on contractors like Lockheed-Martin and Boeing. Currently, Israel receives approximately $3 billion every year from the United States, though this is set to increase by 2018. [8]

Votes are easy enough to explain: for the Republicans, their policies are informed by evangelical Christians that believe that Israel (and apparently Israeli) oppression is a necessary component of their eschatology. On states (like Florida) and dominant in others (like New York).[9]

All eyes on Egypt

Any attention to media coverage of the violence taking place in Gaza brings to fore questions regarding the new government in Egypt. If the Palestinians have any hope for avoiding an Israeli ground offensive, that hope lies with the new political geography of the Middle East. The consequences of such a ground assault are simply too unpredictable.

The Washington Post's Max Fisher had some cogent observations and predictions regarding Egypt's response, explaining the Egypt may lift its end of the embargo on Gaza and--while not likely--a campaign like 2008-2009 may very well result in the dissolution of the 1079 Camp David Accords.[10] It's certainly true that the newly elected Egyptian President Muhammad Morsi has little interest in a confrontation with Israel, but Egypt's post-Mubarak political landscape demands an new attention and respect for popular opinion.

On the one hand, there is little doubt that Egypt was severely embarrassed by Israeli's assassination of Ahmed Jabari, breaching the Egyptian mediated ceasefire that had persisted for over 24 hours. A brief review of the events transpired through the ceasefire.

On Tuesday, in the midst of the short-lived ceasefire, Egypt made it clear that in the event of an escalation in violence, Egypt would not intervene on Hams' behalf.[11] However, significant protest against Israel was already mobilizing in Egypt's political arena, with ten different political parties signing a statement criticizing the government's relationship with Israel before marching through the streets of Cairo.[12] Nevertheless, the ceasefire continued to hold while Hamas leaders--no doubt Jabari was among them--met with leaders from the Popular Resistance Committees and Islamic Jihad. The result was a consensus on continuing the ceasefire as long as Israel did. A Hamas spokesperson made what turned out to be a rather ominous statement: "Palestinian organizations answered Hamas' call and are willing to stop firing, so long as Israel doesn't attack or carry out assassinations in Gaza.”[13]

Worse yet Jabari was a valuable mechanism in the dialogue between Israel and Hamas facilitated by Egyptian mediators. Israeli peace activist Gershon Baskin has written several Op-Eds detailing his interactions with Jabari and the draft proposals for a permanent ceasefire that Jabari received just hourse before his death. This narrative is worth the time of anyone serious about understanding the relationship between Israel and Gaza. [14]

At the end of it all, there is no doubt that Egypt has lost face after their efforts to prevent escalation. Outraged and shamed, Egypt recalled their ambassador from Israel, though this has not stopped them from continuing ceasefire efforts. Egypt's prime minister visited Gaza on Friday, with the promise that both Hamas and Israel would stop firing once he arrived, but the attacks did not stop for long. Tunisia's foreign minister followed suit with similar results.

Egypt has an uphill battle as it tries to mediate a ceasefire especially since one or both sides may be unwilling to participate for very long if at all. It won't be surprising to learn that Hamas has no faith in Israel's participation in a ceasefire, but more likely Hamas must surely know that they cannot balk at the offer, if only for the sake of the Palestinians in Gaza. 

Currently, Egypt is hosting talks between Hamas politiburo chief Khaled Mashaal, Qatar's emir SHeikh Hamad bin Khalifa al-Thani, and Turkish prime minister Tayyip Erdogan about how to arrive at a ceasefire. Time will tell how Egypt's efforts play out as well as how the Morsi government compares to its predecessor.



[2] Lautenberg’s original comments: “No country should be forced to withstand attacks on its own people. We cannot expect Israel to stand idly by while its citizens are the targets of continued rocket attacks. We support Israel’s right to defend itself and call on Hamas to immediately renounce terror and recognize Israel’s right to exist.” http://supportisrael.us/news/?p=1735
[3] "Lobbying Spending Database-American Israel Public Affairs Cmte, 2008." OpenSecrets. Web. 14 Dec. 2010. Online
[4] "Lobbying Spending Database-Lockheed Martin, 2008." OpenSecrets. Web. 14 Dec. 2010.  Online.
[5] "Lobbying Spending Database-Boeing Co, 2008." OpenSecrets. Web. 14 Dec. 2010. Online.
[6] Entous, Adam. "U.S.-Saudi Arms Deal Moves Ahead." The Wall Street Journal. 12 Sept. 2010. Web. 14 Dec. 2010. Online.
[7] Cassata, Donna. “Defense Budget Remains Likely Target For Deficit Reduction.” The Huffington Post. 12 Novemebr 2012. Accessed 17 November 2012. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/12/defense-budget_n_2116166.html
[8] Sharp, Jeremy M. “U.S. Foreign Aid to Israel.” Congressional Research Service. 12 March 2012. Accessed 17 November 2012. http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/RL33222.pdf
[9] This is a bit of an oversimplification, and it deserves mentioning that Jewish Americans by and large do not vote based on a referendum of policies toward Israel. For a good analysis of the Jewish vote in 2012 see Moore, Mik. “Reflections on the Jewish Vote, 2012.” The Huffington Post. 9 November 2012. Accessed 17 November 2012. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/mik-moore/jewish-voters-2012_b_2100586.html
[10] Fisher, Max. “How will Egypt respond to Israeli strikes on Gaza?” The Washington Post. 14 November 2012. Accessed 17 November 2012.
[11] “Egypt to Hamas: We will not intervene if violence continues.” Israel Hayom. 13 November 2012. Accessed 17 November 2012. http://www.israelhayom.com/site/newsletter_article.php?id=6398
[12] Ibid.
[13] Ibid.
[14] Baskin, Gershon. “Israel’s Shortsighted Assassination.” New York Times. 16 November 2012. 17 November 2012. http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/17/opinion/israels-shortsighted-assassination.html?hp&_r=0