Thursday, November 22, 2012

Notes on the Gaza Assault: Deterrence/Terrorism


As the Israeli incursion into Gaza continues, I will be creating posts in this series entitled “Notes on the Gaza Assault,” attempting to highlight some of the primary issues we should all be concerned with as events continue to develop. These may be a bit more free form and written a bit more “from the hip,” so to speak, however I will do my best to keep providing sources for information discussed.

de·ter·rence[1] noun \di-ˈtər-ən(t)s, -ˈter-; -ˈtə-rən(t)s, -ˈte-; dē-\
a : the inhibition of criminal behavior by fear especially of punishment
b : the maintenance of military power for the purpose of discouraging attack
ter·ror·ism noun \ˈter-ər-ˌi-zəm\  
: the systematic use of terror especially as a means of coercion

The connotation of “deterrence” in Israeli political discourse

In American discourse, deterrence is a concept discussed in two conversations: “Capital punishment acts as a deterrent for criminals,” a statement that more closely resembles definition (a); and “During the Cold War, the build-up of America’s nuclear arsenal deterred the Soviet Union from a direct confrontation with the United States,” a statement more akin to definition (b). In Israeli discourse, however, the use of the word ‘deterrence’ is quite different. Compared to all of Israel's potential regional threats, definition (b) is a joke; Israel has a vast “qualitative edge” over every other power in the region—our Congress explicitly ensures this every time it passes a bill regarding Israeli military aid—and that’s just considering the states, let alone sub-state actors like Hamas and Hezbollah.[2]

Problematically, this confines Israel’s the use of “deterrence” as definition (a): “the inhibition of criminal behavior by fear.” The conclusion to be drawn is that when a military operation takes place that lists among its primary objectives as “restoring deterrence” we can interpret this as an attempt discourage Israel’s potential enemies by shock and awe inspiring shows of force, if not brutality. We might look briefly at Defense Minister Ehud Barak’s objectives for operation Pillar of Cloud: “Strengthening our deterrence; To inflict serious damage on the rocket launching network; To deliver a painful blow for Hamas and the other terrorist organizations; To minimize damage to our home front.”[3] The second and third objectives have no doubt been achieved long before this point; the last has been clearly demonstrated as a failure given the escalation in rocket attacks that have resulted—for the first time in almost a year—the death of 3 Israeli citizens, and the most recent bus bombing in Tel Aviv that injured over a dozen people.[4] Thus, the deterrence objective is the only one that ostensibly remains within reach.

Many Israeli commentators and public figures have made it clear what they feel will represent an effective show of deterrence. Gilad Sharon, son of the (in)famous Israeli war criminal/Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, argued in The Jerusalem Post that Israel’s victory must be decisive explaining,
If it isn't clear whether the ball crossed the goal-line or not, the goal isn't decisive. The ball needs to hit the net, visible to all… to accomplish this, you need to achieve what the other side can’t bear, can’t live with, and out initial bombing campaign isn't it…[5]
Further explaining how deterrence works Sharon says,
We need to flatten entire neighborhoods in Gaza. Flatten all of Gaza… There should be no electricity in Gaza, no gasoline or moving vehicles, nothing. Then they’d really call for a ceasefire. Were this to happen, the images from Gaza might be unpleasant—but victory would be swift, and the lives our soldiers and civilians would be spared.[6]

Grizzly as it may sound, these ideas are not new to Israeli military history. Thomas rid tracks such a practice of deterrence being employed by pre-Israeli Zionists during the British Mandate period.[7] The notion has a name widely used and discussed in Israeli military circles:  the Dahiya doctrine. This doctrine is named for a suburb of Beirut that was decimated during Israel’s war with Hezbollah in 2006. A Human Rights Watch report details the carnage:
In their attacks on this largely Shi’a district of high-rise apartment buildings[Dahiya], Israeli forces attacked not only Hezbollah military targets but also the offices of Hezbollah’s charitable organizations, the offices of its parliamentarians, its research center, and multi-story residential apartment buildings in areas considered supportive of Hezbollah. Statements by Israeli officials strongly suggest that the massive IDF attacks in southern Beirut were carried out… because they were seen as pro-Hezbollah.[8]
It should be noted that after dropping leaflets on the area warning residents to leave, many did indeed evacuate, which resulted in few deaths in comparison with the widespread destruction wreaked upon the suburb.
During a rather absurd media war between Hezbollah and Israel in 2008, an Israeli Commander threatened to repeat Israel’s performance in the future:
What happened in the Dahiya quarter of Beirut in 2006 will happen in every village from which Israel is fired on. We will apply disproportionate force on it and cause great damage and destruction there. From our stand point, these are not villages, they are military bases.[9]
Israeli media personality Yaron London giddily praised these comments saying,
In the next clash with Hizbullah, we won’t bother to hunt for tens of thousands of rocket launchers and we won’t spill our soldiers’ blood in attempts to overtake fortified Hizbullah positions. Rather, we shall destroy Lebanon and won’t be deterred by the protest of the world. We shall pulverize the 160 Shiite villages that have turned into Shiite army bases, and we shall not show mercy when it comes to hitting the national infrastructure of a state that, in practice, is controlled by Hizbullah. This strategy is not a threat uttered by an impassioned officer, but rather, an approved plan.[10]
The key breakthrough, according to London, is that there are no innocents; there are no civilians; “nations are responsible for their leaders' acts. In practical terms, the Palestinians in Gaza are all Khaled Mashaal, the Lebanese are all Nasrallah, and the Iranians are all Ahmadinejad.[11] This is the very same reasoning terrorist organizations use and London admits as much albeit couched in more Orientalist (if not altogether racist) language. Hamas and other militant groups argue the same point about all Israeli civilians being responsible for the actions of their government and hence as targets they are perfectly legitimate.

Looking at operation Cast Lead with four years of hindsight might reveal more about the efficacy of Israel’s deterrence capacity. According to the Goldstone Report, Israel targeted a wide variety of civilian infrastructure for destruction including flour mills, chicken farms, sewage treatment facilities, and large swaths of civilian housing.[12] This is in addition to the 1400 Palestinians killed in the assault.[13] The Palestinian Center for Human Rights claimed that about 236 Palestinians killed were combatants;[14] B’tselem, an Israeli human rights agency, claimed that approximately 330-375 were combatants;[15] the Israeli army claimed that 709 were “Hamas terror operatives.”[16] Regardless of which figures we believe it is perfectly clear that civilians suffered more than militants. However, the civilians by definition are not the people launching rocket attacks, and four years later there are still flare-ups in such attacks. It seems to me that these Israeli operations tend to grant Hamas and other militant groups only solidify support for Hamas, as they are frequently seen as the only one standing up for the Palestinians in Gaza. It’s rather evident that the Palestinian Authority (and the Fatah party that controls it) was powerless to stop these assaults. While in short term benefits for Isreal, this means that Mahmoud Abbas will be weak as pushes ahead at the UN for non-member state status, but in the long-run a weakened Abbas will only serve to empower less pliable elements of the Palestinian political spectrum. However, it must be said that expecting a population to blame their own governors for the foreign bombs landing on their home is sheer insanity.

The key difference between the actions and calculus of Hamas and Israel is that terrorism as practiced by Israel is meant to “deter” (re: punish) resistance to its policies from those who are subject to their most brutal effects, while Hamas employs terrorism as a form of resistance. Both deserve condemnation, but both deserve this key qualification: one serves as a form of resistance and one serves as form of crushing resistance. More honest journalists and analysts should call Israel’s operations of deterrence for what they are: terrorism that deliberately targets civilian infrastructure and civilian targets as a means of coercing those civilians to reject and blame their own leadership for Israel’s bullets and bombs.

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[1] All definitions taken from:  http://www.merriam-webster.com/.
[2] CRS report
[3] “Pillar of Defense – Statement by DM Ehud Barak.”IsraeliMinistry of Foreign Affairs. 14 November 2012. Accessed 21 November 2012.  http://www.mfa.gov.il/MFA/Government/Communiques/2012/Pillar_of_Defense-Statement_DM_Barak_14-Nov-2012.htm
[4] Sherwood, Harriet. “Tel Aviv bus bombing raises fears in Israel that Gaza conflict will spread.” The Guardian. 21 November 2012. Accessed 21 Novmeber 2012. http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/nov/21/tel-aviv-bus-bomb-gaza-spread
[5] Sharon, Gilad. “A decisive conclusion is necessary.” The Jerusalem Post. 28 November 2012. Accessed 21 November 2012. http://www.jpost.com/Opinion/Op-EdContributors/Article.aspx?ID=292466
[6] Ibid.
[7] Rid, Thomas. “Deterrence beyond the State: The Israeli Experience.” Contemporary Security Policy, Vol. 33, No. 1. April 2012. Accessed 21 November 2012. http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/13523260.2012.659593
[8] “Why they Died.” Human Rights Watch. September 2007. Accessed 21 November 2012. http://www.hrw.org/sites/default/files/reports/lebanon0907.pdf. Refuting the line the attacks were targeting Hezbollah munitions, but the group was using human shields Human Rights Watch goes on, “In the 94 incidents involving civilian casualties that Human Rights Watch investigated, we found evidence in only one case involving civilian deaths that Hezbollah weapons were stored in the building. Rather, it appears…that Hezbollah had stored most of its weapons and ammunition, notably rockets, in bunkers and weapon storage facilities located in the fields and the valleys surrounding villages.” 
[9] Katz, Yaakov. “The Dahiya Doctrine: Fighting dirty or a knock-out punch?” The Jerusalem Post. 28 January 2010. Accessed 21 November 2012. http://www.jpost.com/Features/FrontLines/Article.aspx?id=167167
[10] London, Yaron. “The Dahiya Strategy.” Yediot Aharonot. 6 October 2008. Accessed 21 November 2012. http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3605863,00.html  
[11] Ibid.
[12] “Report of the United Nations Fact-Finding Mission on the Gaza Conflict.” United Nations Report A/HRC/12/48. 25 September 2009. Accessed 13 November 2012. http://www2.ohchr.org/english/bodies/hrcouncil/docs/12session/A-HRC-12-48.pdf
[13] During this same time period 13 Israelis lost their lives, of which 10 were soldiers, of which 4 casualties was the result of friendly fire.
[14] Laub, Karin. “Rights group names 1,417 Gaza war dead.” The Washington Times. 19 March 2009. Accessed 22 November 2012. http://www.webcitation.org/5niC4Iiub
[15] “B’Tselem’s investigation of fatalities in Operation Cast Lead.” B’Tselem. September 2009. Accessed 22 November 2012. http://www.webcitation.org/5niCUh4K4
[16] Lappin, Yaakov. “IDF releases Cast Lead casualty numbers.” The Jerusalem Post. 26 March 2009. Accessed 22 November 2012. http://www.webcitation.org/5niwZTV9K

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